Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.346010 0.451651 0.566831 0.699936 0.847888 1.005880 1.186009
2025-09-14 0.189212 0.322958 0.486649 0.692445 0.936692 1.211207 1.537572
2025-09-21 0.108922 0.244136 0.427848 0.674219 0.979992 1.334827 1.767140
2025-09-28 0.074527 0.214835 0.422665 0.714684 1.088037 1.530082 2.076654
2025-10-05 0.053729 0.198075 0.428785 0.765106 1.204693 1.732680 2.392255
2025-10-12 0.036176 0.179332 0.427649 0.802806 1.303232 1.912053 2.679473
2025-10-19 0.027246 0.173846 0.444454 0.863557 1.430225 2.125401 3.006717
2025-10-26 0.018375 0.163353 0.451045 0.908606 1.536000 2.312202 3.301913
2025-11-02 0.008572 0.140962 0.434223 0.917895 1.593365 2.438124 3.523090
2025-11-09 0.000712 0.101754 0.380160 0.867764 1.568391 2.458941 3.614991
2025-11-16 NaN 0.067397 0.324859 0.809531 1.528154 2.457394 3.677025
2025-11-23 NaN 0.049010 0.296243 0.789418 1.537825 2.517478 3.813186
2025-11-30 NaN 0.038649 0.284428 0.797818 1.590509 2.637374 4.029594
2025-12-07 NaN 0.026986 0.264133 0.790265 1.620085 2.727672 4.210209
2025-12-14 NaN 0.016218 0.238743 0.770591 1.630033 2.790716 4.355317
2025-12-21 NaN 0.015293 0.248249 0.814000 1.732756 2.976463 4.655318
2025-12-28 NaN 0.015713 0.263379 0.867929 1.851224 3.183276 4.982173
2026-01-04 NaN 0.014535 0.271209 0.908189 1.949417 3.363268 5.275288
2026-01-11 NaN 0.016192 0.292003 0.972945 2.084307 3.592293 5.630739
2026-01-18 NaN 0.015911 0.303843 1.020878 2.194180 3.788145 5.944361
2026-01-25 NaN 0.011785 0.295789 1.030753 2.246946 3.907820 6.161445
2026-02-01 NaN 0.004119 0.256446 0.977425 2.202888 3.896911 6.211817
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000311 0.215534 0.915364 2.142395 3.861781 6.229614